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Bitcoin's four-year market cycle isn't dead — Xapo Bank CEO

2025-07-13 00:14:35

Bitcoin's four-year market cycle isn't dead — Xapo Bank CEO

Is Bitcoin's Four-Year Market Cycle Dead?

The CEO of Xapo Bank recently caused a stir in the Bitcoin community by declaring that Bitcoin's four-year market cycle isn't dead. This bold statement has ignited a debate among crypto enthusiasts and experts alike, with many questioning the validity of this claim.

Understanding Bitcoin's Four-Year Cycle

Bitcoin's four-year cycle is a phenomenon that has been observed since the inception of the cryptocurrency. Essentially, the cycle refers to the period between each 'halving' event, where the reward for mining Bitcoin is cut in half.

This event typically triggers a bull run as supply reduces, driving up the price. After the bull run, there's a 'bear' phase where the price drops, leading to consolidation and accumulation, before the cycle repeats.

Xapo Bank CEO's Perspective

The CEO's statement rests on the belief that despite the volatility and unpredictability of the crypto market, Bitcoin's four-year cycle has remained consistent. Despite numerous price fluctuations, regulatory challenges, and market sentiments, the cycle has remained resilient and continues to be a reliable predictor of Bitcoin's market behavior.

Analysis with Bitcoinmeter.io

Looking at the historical data provided by bitcoinmeter.io, it's clear that this four-year cycle pattern has held up. Coinciding with each 'halving', there's a significant increase in price, followed by a bear period, and then a period of accumulation.

This pattern is evident in the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index, which measures market sentiment. During the 'halving' and subsequent bull run, the index shows extreme greed, followed by fear during the bear phase.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the assertion that Bitcoin's four-year market cycle isn't dead holds water. The historical data and market sentiment, as measured by the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index, support this claim. However, as with any investment, there are always risks involved and price predictions should be taken with caution.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.